Battleground states

Swing states 2028

If every other state votes as it did in 2024, Democrats start with 226 electoral votes and Republicans with 219. The seven swing states hold the remaining 93.

Call the swing states yourself →

Arizona

Voted R in 2016, D in 2020, R in 2024. Democrats need 44 more electoral votes from the swing states; Arizona would cover 25% of that.

Georgia

Voted R in 2016, D in 2020, R in 2024. Democrats need 44 more electoral votes from the swing states; Georgia would cover 36% of that.

Michigan

Voted R in 2016, D in 2020, R in 2024. Democrats need 44 more electoral votes from the swing states; Michigan would cover 34% of that.

Nevada

Voted D in 2016, D in 2020, R in 2024. Democrats need 44 more electoral votes from the swing states; Nevada would cover 14% of that.

North Carolina

Voted R in 2016, R in 2020, R in 2024. Democrats need 44 more electoral votes from the swing states; North Carolina would cover 36% of that.

Pennsylvania

Voted R in 2016, D in 2020, R in 2024. Democrats need 44 more electoral votes from the swing states; Pennsylvania would cover 43% of that.

Wisconsin

Voted R in 2016, D in 2020, R in 2024. Democrats need 44 more electoral votes from the swing states; Wisconsin would cover 23% of that.

Why these seven?

They were the closest states in 2024 and most have changed hands since 2016: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin flipped from Republican in 2016 to Democratic in 2020 and back in 2024, Nevada voted Democratic in 2016 and 2020 then Republican in 2024, and North Carolina has voted Republican narrowly each time. Campaigns spend most of their time and money here.

Paths to 270

From the 2024 baseline, Democrats need 44 of the 93 swing-state electoral votes and Republicans need 51. The “blue wall” of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin is worth 44 on its own. Try the combinations in the map maker.